The Biggest Loser Wins
“While the world’s economies jockey one another
for the lead in the currency devaluation derby, it’s worth considering
the value of the prize they are seeking. They believe a weak currency
opens the door to trade dominance, by allowing manufacturers to undercut
foreign rivals, and to economic growth, by fighting deflation. On the
other side of the coin, they believe a strong currency is an economic
albatross that leads to stagnation. But the demonstrable effects of
currency strength and weakness reveal the emptiness of their theory.
A country that attracts investment from abroad (through
stable and fair governance, low taxes, a growing economy, and a
productive labor force) and produces goods that are in demand on the
global stage will generally see a rising currency. In essence, this is
the reward for a job well done. Strong currencies then help nations stay
strong by conferring greater purchasing power to its citizens and
businesses, which keeps input costs low, thereby enhancing international
competitiveness. Strong currencies also encourage savings, keep real
interest rates low, lower capital costs, and allow for greater
productivity and higher real wages.”
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