“When the gold market wakes up to the fact that there is no tightening, there’s just endless easing, that we just have one big bubble – then I think we’ll have a mass scramble on the part of everyone who sold their gold to buy it back. Where they’re going to get it, I don’t know. Who’s going to be sellers at these levels once that moment happens…I don’t know. So I would expect to see a very, very rapid rise in the price of gold.”
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Monday, June 24, 2013
Peter Schiff: Prepare for a Vicious Gold Rally
“The Fed is going to have to wave the white flag, not me. They’re going to have to admit that it hasn’t worked and they’re going to up the size of QE. Meanwhile, the gold traders are preparing for something that’s not going to happen and they’re going to be caught by surprise. You’re going to see a vicious rally in gold as people look to re-buy the gold they sold based on the false premise that the economy was improving and the Fed was going to tighten.”
Peter Schiff - Tapering the Taper Talk
“As usual the Federal Reserve media reaction machine has fallen for a poorly executed head fake. It has fallen for this move many times in the past, and for its efforts, it has tackled nothing but air. Yet right on cue, it took the bait once more. Somehow the takeaway from Wednesday’s release of the June Fed statement and Chairman Ben Bernanke’s press conference was that the central bank is likely to begin scaling back, or “tapering,” its $85 billion per month quantitative easing program sometime later this year, and that the program may be completely wound down by the middle of next year.
Although this scenario is about as likely as an NSA-sponsored ticker tape parade for whistle blower Edward Snowden, all of the market segments reacted as if it were a fait accompli. The stock market – convinced that it will lose the support of ultra-low, long-term interest rates and the added consumer spending that results from a nascent housing bubble – sold off in triple digits. The bond market, sensing that its biggest and busiest customer will be exiting the market, followed a similarly negative trajectory. The sell-off in government and corporate debt pushed yields up to 21 month highs. In foreign exchange markets, the dollar rallied off its four-month lows based on the belief that Fed tightening will support the currency. And lastly, the gold market, sensing that an end of quantitative easing would eliminate the inflationary fears that have partially fueled gold’s spectacular rise, sold off nearly five percent to a new two-and-a-half year low.
All of this came as a result of Bernanke's mild commitments to begin easing back on permanent QE sometime later this year if the economy continued to improve the way he expected. The chairman did not really elaborate on what types of improvements he had seen, or how much farther those unidentified trends would need to go before he would finally pull the trigger. He was however careful to point out that any policy shift, be it for less or more quantitative easing, would not be dependent on incoming data, but on the Fed's interpretation of that data. By stressing repeatedly that its data goalposts were "thresholds rather than triggers," the chairman gained further latitude to pursue any stance the Fed chooses regardless of the data. ”
Read Full Commentary
Although this scenario is about as likely as an NSA-sponsored ticker tape parade for whistle blower Edward Snowden, all of the market segments reacted as if it were a fait accompli. The stock market – convinced that it will lose the support of ultra-low, long-term interest rates and the added consumer spending that results from a nascent housing bubble – sold off in triple digits. The bond market, sensing that its biggest and busiest customer will be exiting the market, followed a similarly negative trajectory. The sell-off in government and corporate debt pushed yields up to 21 month highs. In foreign exchange markets, the dollar rallied off its four-month lows based on the belief that Fed tightening will support the currency. And lastly, the gold market, sensing that an end of quantitative easing would eliminate the inflationary fears that have partially fueled gold’s spectacular rise, sold off nearly five percent to a new two-and-a-half year low.
All of this came as a result of Bernanke's mild commitments to begin easing back on permanent QE sometime later this year if the economy continued to improve the way he expected. The chairman did not really elaborate on what types of improvements he had seen, or how much farther those unidentified trends would need to go before he would finally pull the trigger. He was however careful to point out that any policy shift, be it for less or more quantitative easing, would not be dependent on incoming data, but on the Fed's interpretation of that data. By stressing repeatedly that its data goalposts were "thresholds rather than triggers," the chairman gained further latitude to pursue any stance the Fed chooses regardless of the data. ”
Read Full Commentary
Peter Schiff: “Vicious” Gold Rally Coming
Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital argues that the Fed won't be able to taper quantitative easing -- actually, they'll have to increase it. He expects that will cause a "vicious" rally in gold.
Friday, June 21, 2013
Peter Schiff: Phony Recovery Evaporates at Hint of Less QE
“This whole recovery that the Fed believes it created with the QE is evaporating before it even dials it back. I think the that the next thing the Fed is going to do is add to the QE. … They are going to put more crack into the pipe.”
Thursday, June 20, 2013
Fed Is Creating an Economic Illusion: Peter Schiff
“Are we richer or we poorer? Are we growing our liabilities or are we growing our assets? America is getting poorer. We are consuming our way into poverty. We’re borrowing from the rest of the world. We’re trying to reflate a phony economy based on assets prices like real estate and stocks. Meanwhile, the real economy deteriorating beneath our feet.”
The dirty little secret of finance is that everyone is making it up on the fly. Economics is a social science focused on human behaviors. People have a habit of behaving in ways they "shouldn't." Other scientific pursuits have tangible answers where economics has a collection of best guesses. The speed of light is a constant but the velocity of money is subject to the collective whims irrational masses.
For the better part of six years the FOMC has been doing its best to give away money. On an institutional, level money is essentially free. The notion driving this Federal Reserve largesse was the idea that free money would get spent, thus stimulating the economy. There should be inflation right now. Instead the economy is listless, almost sedated.
If market participants seem on edge it's only because everything they once believed to be true is either being shown to be utterly false or the delay between cause and effect is so long that the theory is pointless.
Read Full Article Here
The dirty little secret of finance is that everyone is making it up on the fly. Economics is a social science focused on human behaviors. People have a habit of behaving in ways they "shouldn't." Other scientific pursuits have tangible answers where economics has a collection of best guesses. The speed of light is a constant but the velocity of money is subject to the collective whims irrational masses.
For the better part of six years the FOMC has been doing its best to give away money. On an institutional, level money is essentially free. The notion driving this Federal Reserve largesse was the idea that free money would get spent, thus stimulating the economy. There should be inflation right now. Instead the economy is listless, almost sedated.
If market participants seem on edge it's only because everything they once believed to be true is either being shown to be utterly false or the delay between cause and effect is so long that the theory is pointless.
Read Full Article Here
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